Porter’s Five Forces : Understanding your negotiating power before you negotiate
Most buyers enter negotiations without knowing if they’re in a position of strength or weakness. Result: misaligned strategy, poorly used levers, disappointing outcomes.
Michael Porter’s framework — originally designed to analyze the attractiveness of an industry — is one of the most powerful tools for buyers when adapted to procurement. Not like a consultant coming to propose a vague strategy. But like a real tactical lever: understand the balance of power on your supplier market and know exactly what room for maneuver you have in negotiations.
Most buyers think negotiating is about knowing how to talk. In reality, it’s about knowing where you stand in the balance of power before you even walk in the room.— Market dynamics vs personal conviction
Porter’s Five Forces gives you exactly that: a navigation map of the supplier market. Where are the risks. Where are the levers. And above all — where can you really push, and where you need to collaborate because you have no choice.
Origin and adaptation to procurement
The framework comes from Michael Porter, Harvard, 1979. Founding article: “How Competitive Forces Shape Strategy” (Harvard Business Review). Originally designed to analyze the attractiveness of a market that a company might want to enter. The question: “Can we make money in this sector?”
For procurement, we flip the question. We’re already customers in the supplier market. And we ask ourselves: “What is my negotiating power on this market? Who sets the conditions — me or the suppliers?”
What was a barrier to entry for an entrepreneur becomes a lever (or an obstacle) for a buyer. You analyze the same 5 forces, but you’re trying to understand your position in the ecosystem — not that of a new entrant.
The 5 forces explained for procurement
Each force impacts your negotiating power directly. Some advantage you, others disadvantage you. The work is to score each force, then combine the 5 to get an overall position. Here’s how to decode each one.
Rivalry among existing suppliers
- Number of credible actors on the market
- Differentiation or commoditization
- Growth dynamics vs market saturation
Supplier bargaining power
- % of their revenue you represent
- Technological or supplier alternatives
- Migration cost for you
Your buyer power
- Concentrated or fragmented volume
- Capacity for substitution or internalization
- Client value for the supplier
Threat of substitutes
- Existing technological substitutes
- Performance difference
- Cost of switching
Threat of new entrants
- Capital or technological barriers
- Emergence of innovative actors
- Supply chain evolution
Scoring and synthesizing the 5 forces
The Porter analysis only works if you convert it into an actionable score. Here’s the simple method.
Step 1: Scoring each force
For each force, give a score from 1 (very unfavorable for you) to 5 (very favorable for you). Some benchmarks:
Supplier rivalry
5 = 10+ equivalent actors, market growth. 1 = quasi-monopoly, declining market.
Supplier power
5 = you are a small client, unique product, huge switching costs. 1 = you are crucial to them, pure commodity.
Your buyer power
5 = large volume, viable alternatives, you are a reference client. 1 = small volume, captive, little grip.
Substitutes
5 = credible and accessible substitutes. 1 = no alternative, unique product or very expensive to change.
New entrants
5 = low barriers, active disruption. 1 = very high barriers, incumbent protected.
Step 2: Decision matrix
| Total score | Power position | Recommended strategy |
|---|---|---|
| 20–25 | Very strong | Aggressive negotiation. Multi-source RFQs. Price pressure. You set the terms. |
| 15–19 | Strong | Firm negotiation with alternative development. Seek to consolidate competitive advantages. |
| 10–14 | Balanced | Win-win partnership. TCO optimization. Collaboration on innovations. Balance power. |
| 5–9 | Weak | Close collaboration. Supply security. Investments to reduce dependency. |
| 0–4 | Very weak | Emergency risk mitigation. Develop internal capabilities. Invest in long-term alternatives. |
Complete practical case: Cloud Computing (IaaS)
Let’s take a concrete and current example: you’re assessing your power situation on the Cloud IaaS market (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud). You’re an SME with 200 people. You spend ~2M€/year on cloud compute.
Force-by-force analysis:
Scoring breakdown:
Total score: 14/25 → Balanced position
Recommended strategy: Long-term partnership with partial multi-cloud. Negotiate on total TCO (not just compute). Use Azure or GCP as price leverage with AWS, but don’t push too hard — you need all of them.— Logic of balanced positioning
The 3 classic mistakes — and how to avoid them
Doing the analysis only once
Supplier markets evolve fast. An uncompetitive market in 2020 can be competitive by 2025 (new entrants, disruptive technologies, recessions). Redo your Porter every 18–24 months on critical categories. And especially, redo it before a major renegotiation.
Confusing global power with category-specific power
Being Airbus or Thales doesn’t mean you have power over every supplier category. You can be a giant client but have zero leverage over a unique patented component supplier. Score Porter category by category, not at the group level.
Scoring too quickly without data
A Porter score based on impressions (“I think there are lots of suppliers”) is almost as useless as no score. Find the data: number of public actors, market share, press articles on disruption, sector reports. 2–3 hours of research changes the quality of your analysis.
Porter in the context of your tool series
Porter isn’t a standalone tool. It’s the second link in a logical chain:
Key connection: Porter tells you “you have leverage” or “you don’t.” But Kraljic (article #3) will then tell you “so on this category, what should you do?” It’s the combination that creates value — not the tool alone.
Porter gives you your terrain map. Kraljic tells you where to build your fortifications. And Cost Breakdown gives you the arguments to fight with.— Logic of a complete category strategy
Summary
Porter’s Five Forces, adapted to procurement, answers a single crucial question: “Am I in a position of strength or weakness on this supplier market?”
- 5 forces analyzed: rivalry, supplier power, your buyer power, substitutes, new entrants
- Simple score: 1–5 per force, sum to get your overall position (0–25)
- Position determines strategy: aggressive if strong, collaborative if weak, balanced in between
- Update regularly: redo before each major renegotiation (24 months max)
- Category by category: not one group-wide score, but scores per procurement category
The next time a supplier comes with their conditions, you’ll know whether you have the legitimacy to challenge them, or whether you need to collaborate without pulling too hard on the rope.
Next article in the series
- Article #0 — Introduction · Roadmap
- Article #1 — Spend Analysis : Where is the money going?
- Article #2 — Porter’s Five Forces : What is your market position? ← You are here
- Article #3 — Kraljic Matrix : Where to prioritize your efforts?
- Article #4 — Supplier Segmentation : How to manage your portfolio?
- Article #5 — Cost Breakdown & Should-Cost : How to negotiate with facts?
- Article #6 — Category Strategy Canvas : What is your action plan?